Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000067 0.000079 0.000093 0.000109 0.000127 0.000146 0.000168
2025-03-30 0.000050 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000136 0.000167 0.000205
2025-04-06 0.000039 0.000057 0.000078 0.000106 0.000139 0.000179 0.000228
2025-04-13 0.000034 0.000053 0.000077 0.000110 0.000151 0.000200 0.000262
2025-04-20 0.000028 0.000046 0.000071 0.000106 0.000151 0.000207 0.000280
2025-04-27 0.000023 0.000042 0.000068 0.000105 0.000155 0.000219 0.000302
2025-05-04 0.000020 0.000038 0.000065 0.000105 0.000160 0.000230 0.000324
2025-05-11 0.000018 0.000037 0.000065 0.000109 0.000169 0.000248 0.000356
2025-05-18 0.000016 0.000034 0.000064 0.000109 0.000175 0.000261 0.000380
2025-05-25 0.000013 0.000030 0.000059 0.000106 0.000174 0.000265 0.000392
2025-06-01 0.000011 0.000028 0.000057 0.000105 0.000176 0.000274 0.000412
2025-06-08 0.000009 0.000026 0.000055 0.000104 0.000180 0.000284 0.000432
2025-06-15 0.000008 0.000024 0.000054 0.000105 0.000185 0.000298 0.000459
2025-06-22 0.000007 0.000022 0.000051 0.000104 0.000188 0.000307 0.000480
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000019 0.000048 0.000102 0.000189 0.000313 0.000497
2025-07-06 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000106 0.000198 0.000333 0.000533
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000017 0.000046 0.000102 0.000197 0.000336 0.000545
2025-07-20 0.000003 0.000015 0.000044 0.000102 0.000199 0.000346 0.000566
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000014 0.000043 0.000101 0.000203 0.000356 0.000589
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000014 0.000043 0.000105 0.000212 0.000376 0.000626
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000013 0.000043 0.000106 0.000217 0.000388 0.000652
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000011 0.000040 0.000102 0.000215 0.000390 0.000662
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000010 0.000038 0.000101 0.000217 0.000398 0.000683